Left Rudder

Whacks on, whacks off.

It’s almost like shooting fish in a barrel.

Again, we use Kleck’s own survey numbers and compare them with actual stats; hilarity ensues.

Kleck acknowledges there are some 550,000 gun crimes annually in the US. According to Kleck’s DGU ’study’, 18% of all DGUs involved an assailant who had a firearm.

Away we go to Mr. Calculator:

.18 (% of DGUs involving a gun-toting assailant) x 2.5M DGUs = 450,000 DGUs involving gun-toting assailant

450,000 DGUs involving gun-toting assailant/550,000 gun crimes annually = 82% of all gun crimes foiled by DGU.

Wow.

As noted previously, Kleck’s many DGU surveys have some problems. When we compare Kleck’s statistical inferences to real-life facts, Kleck is often found wanting.

Here’s another example. According to Kleck, in 34% of his DGUs–the criminal was in the act of commiting a burglary. In the year of Kleck’s ’study’, there were 6M burglaries. Of these 6M burglaries, 22% were committed when a resident was home (~1.3M burglaries). Further, Kleck estimates 42% of US homes have a firearm. Again, we go to the calculator:

6M (total burglaries in US) x .22 (% of burglaries committed with at-home resident) x .42 (% of households with firearm) = 554, 400 burglaries

.34 (% of DGUs involved in burglary) x 2.5M DGUs = 850,000 burglaries

This means, according to Kleck, burglaries were foiled by a DGU in 153% of all cases. IOW, all burglaries occurring when a resident with a gun is home are prevented–not just once but more than 1.5 times.